* India TV-CNX Opinion Poll
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may storm back to power in Rajasthan this time with an absolute majority in next month’s Assembly elections, says India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, results of which were telecast today on the news channel.
The opinion poll projections show in a House of 200 Assembly seats, the BJP may win 125 seats, compared to the 73 seats it had won five years ago. The ruling party Congress may win only 72 seats, compared to the 100 seats it had won five years ago, says the survey. ‘Others’ including independents and regional parties may win only three seats, compared to the 27 seats they had won in 2018.
Vote share projections show the BJP may get 44.92 per cent, the Congress may get 40.08 per cent, and ‘Others’ may get 15 per cent in Rajasthan. In the 2018 elections, the BJP got 38.77 per cent, the Congress got 39.3 per cent and ‘Others’ got 21.93 per cent votes.
Region-wise projections
- In Jaipur-Dholpur having 48 seats, the BJP may win 28, the Congress may win 19 and others may win one seat.
- In Tonk-Kota having 24 seats, the BJP may win 13 seats leaving the remaining 11 seats to the Congress.
- In Marwar having 56 seats, the BJP may win 40 seats, the Congress may win 15 and others may win one seat.
- In Mewar having 48 seats, the BJP may win 32 seats, the Congress may win 15 seats and one seat may go to others.
- In Shekhawati having 24 seats, the BJP and the Congress may share 12 seats each.
Preference for Chief Minister
The survey findings show Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot leading with 32.5 per cent of respondents wishing him to continue in the post. Gehlot is closely followed by BJP leader Vasundhara Raje with 26.98 per cent of respondents showing their preference for her as the next CM.
Congress leader Sachin Pilot comes third with 12.35 per cent, while BJP leader Gajendra Singh Shekhawat is fourth with 10.07 per cent. BJP leader Rajvardhan Singh Rathore is fifth with 7.81 per cent, while another BJP leader Diya Kumari comes sixth with only 3 per cent. Other leaders get 7.29 per cent support in all.